Mercer
W-L: ( 6- 8) PR = 88.4694Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 131 H Hampton CAA ( 0-12, 79.3) 18- 9 207 H Marist MAAC (11- 4, 90.8) 13- 9 214 A VMI NEC ( 7- 7, 87.0) 16-12 216 A Richmond Atlantic 10 (14- 1, 99.1) 5-15 223 H Army West Point Patriot (13- 3, 98.0) 7-16 228 A Drexel CAA ( 9- 6, 92.9) 7-18 307 A Marquette Big East ( 6- 7, 91.6) 12-21 314 H St Johns (NY) Big East ( 2-12, 87.9) 12-11 328 A Queens ASUN ( 4- 9, 85.3) 7- 4 404 H Utah ASUN ( 9- 5, 95.2) 14-24 411 H Bellarmine ASUN ( 5-11, 88.9) 18-17 418 A Air Force ASUN ( 7- 8, 91.3) 9-17 425 H Jacksonville ASUN (10- 5, 95.9) 7-17 501 A Jacksonville ASUN (10- 5, 95.9) 3-18 o
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
131 H Hampton 18- 9 9 11 0.00
207 H Marist 13- 9 4 -1 ++ 4.97
214 A VMI 16-12 4 0 + 3.91
216 A Richmond 5-15 -10 -12 0.00
223 H Army West Point 7-16 -9 -8 0.00
228 A Drexel 7-18 -11 -6 -1.19
307 A Marquette 12-21 -9 -4 - -2.53
314 H St Johns (NY) 12-11 1 2 -0.99
328 A Queens 7- 4 3 2 1.22
404 H Utah 14-24 -10 -5 -1.69
411 H Bellarmine 18-17 1 1 0.03
418 A Air Force 9-17 -8 -4 - -2.76
425 H Jacksonville 7-17 -10 -6 -0.97
501 A Jacksonville 3-18 o -15 -9 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 307 A Marquette 12-21 -9 -4 - -2.53 418 A Air Force 9-17 -8 -4 - -2.76 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 207 H Marist 13- 9 4 -1 ++ 4.97 214 A VMI 16-12 4 0 + 3.91 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 14.31
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Hampton ( 0-12, 79.3) 18- 9 -20.60 1.00 -1.38 1.02 -0.77
3 H Marist (11- 4, 90.8) 13- 9 -9.08 11.52 -1.38 1.02 20.73
3 A VMI ( 7- 7, 87.0) 16-12 -12.89 7.71 1.38 1.02 18.57
3 A Richmond (14- 1, 99.1) 5-15 -0.77 19.82 1.38 1.02 -0.31
3 H Army West Poin (13- 3, 98.0) 7-16 -1.86 18.74 -1.38 1.02 -1.65
3 A Drexel ( 9- 6, 92.9) 7-18 -6.99 13.61 1.38 1.02 -2.87
3 A Marquette ( 6- 7, 91.6) 12-21 -8.34 12.26 1.38 1.02 -3.56
3 H St Johns (NY) ( 2-12, 87.9) 12-11 -12.05 8.55 -1.38 1.02 14.67
3 A Queens ( 4- 9, 85.3) 7- 4 -14.59 6.01 1.38 1.02 15.10
3 H Utah ( 9- 5, 95.2) 14-24 -4.74 15.85 -1.38 1.02 -3.13
3 H Bellarmine ( 5-11, 88.9) 18-17 -11.03 9.57 -1.38 1.02 16.75
3 A Air Force ( 7- 8, 91.3) 9-17 -8.57 12.03 1.38 1.02 -3.68
3 H Jacksonville (10- 5, 95.9) 7-17 -4.03 16.57 -1.38 1.02 -2.76
3 A Jacksonville (10- 5, 95.9) 3-18 -4.03 16.57 1.38 1.02 -1.36
------
65.75
|
winning pts = 85.0627 losing points = -19.3143
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------